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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w17417
来源IDWorking Paper 17417
The Political Economy of Deforestation in the Tropics
Robin Burgess; Matthew Hansen; Benjamin A. Olken; Peter Potapov; Stefanie Sieber
发表日期2011-09-15
出版年2011
语种英语
摘要Tropical deforestation accounts for almost one-fifth of greenhouse gas emissions worldwide and threatens the world's most diverse ecosystems. The prevalence of illegal forest extraction in the tropics suggests that understanding the incentives of local bureaucrats and politicians who enforce forest policy may be critical to understanding tropical deforestation. We find support for this thesis using a novel satellite-based dataset that tracks annual changes in forest cover across eight years of institutional change in post-Soeharto Indonesia. Increases in the numbers of political jurisdictions are associated with increased deforestation and with lower prices in local wood markets, consistent with a model of Cournot competition between jurisdictions. Illegal logging increases dramatically in the years leading up to local elections, suggesting the presence of "political logging cycles". And, illegal logging and rents from unevenly distributed oil and gas revenues are short run substitutes, but this effect dissapears over time as political turnover occurs. The results illustrate how incentives faced by local government officials affect deforestation, and provide an example of how standard economic theories can explain illegal behavior.
主题Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Industrial Organization ; Industry Studies
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w17417
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575091
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GB/T 7714
Robin Burgess,Matthew Hansen,Benjamin A. Olken,et al. The Political Economy of Deforestation in the Tropics. 2011.
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