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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w17421 |
来源ID | Working Paper 17421 |
Improving GDP Measurement: A Forecast Combination Perspective | |
S. Boragan Aruoba; Francis X. Diebold; Jeremy Nalewaik; Frank Schorfheide; Dongho Song | |
发表日期 | 2011-09-15 |
出版年 | 2011 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Two often-divergent U.S. GDP estimates are available, a widely-used expenditure side version, GDPE, and a much less widely-used income-side version GDPI . We propose and explore a "forecast combination" approach to combining them. We then put the theory to work, producing a superior combined estimate of GDP growth for the U.S., GDPC. We compare GDPC to GDPE and GDPI , with particular attention to behavior over the business cycle. We discuss several variations and extensions. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w17421 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575095 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | S. Boragan Aruoba,Francis X. Diebold,Jeremy Nalewaik,et al. Improving GDP Measurement: A Forecast Combination Perspective. 2011. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w17421.pdf(475KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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