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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w17796
来源IDWorking Paper 17796
Nominal Stability and Financial Globalization
Michael B. Devereux; Ozge Senay; Alan Sutherland
发表日期2012-01-26
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要Over the one and a half decades prior to the global financial crisis, advanced economies experienced a large growth in gross external portfolio positions. This phenomenon has been described as Financial Globalization. Over roughly the same time frame, most of these countries also saw a substantial fall in the level and variability of inflation. Many economists have conjectured that financial globalization contributed to the improved performance in the level and predictability of inflation. In this paper, we explore the causal link running in the opposite direction. We show that a monetary policy rule which reduces inflation variability leads to an increase in the size of gross external positions, both in equity and bond portfolios. This is a highly robust prediction of open economy macro models with endogenous portfolio choice. It holds across many different modeling specifications and parameterizations. We also present preliminary empirical evidence which shows a negative relationship between inflation volatility and the size of gross external positions.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w17796
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575471
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GB/T 7714
Michael B. Devereux,Ozge Senay,Alan Sutherland. Nominal Stability and Financial Globalization. 2012.
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