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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w17875 |
来源ID | Working Paper 17875 |
Are Chinese Trade Flows Different? | |
Yin-Wong Cheung; Menzie D. Chinn; XingWang Qian | |
发表日期 | 2012-03-01 |
出版年 | 2012 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We find that Chinese trade flows respond to economic activity and relative prices - as represented by a trade weighted exchange rate - but the relationships are not always precisely or robustly estimated. Chinese exports are generally well-behaved, rising with foreign GDP and decreasing as the Chinese renminbi (RMB) appreciates. However, the estimated income elasticity is sensitive to the treatment of time trends. Estimates of aggregate imports are more problematic. In many cases, Chinese aggregate imports actually rise in response to a RMB depreciation and decline with Chinese GDP. This is true even after accounting for the fact a substantial share of imports are subsequently incorporated into Chinese exports. We find that some of these counter-intuitive results are mitigated when we disaggregate the trade flows by customs type, commodity type, and the type of firm undertaking the transactions. However, for imports, we only obtain more reasonable estimates of elasticities when we allow for different import intensities for different components of aggregate demand (specifically, consumption versus investment), or when we include a relative productivity variable. |
主题 | International Economics ; International Macroeconomics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w17875 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575550 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Yin-Wong Cheung,Menzie D. Chinn,XingWang Qian. Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?. 2012. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w17875.pdf(398KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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