G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w17875
来源IDWorking Paper 17875
Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?
Yin-Wong Cheung; Menzie D. Chinn; XingWang Qian
发表日期2012-03-01
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要We find that Chinese trade flows respond to economic activity and relative prices - as represented by a trade weighted exchange rate - but the relationships are not always precisely or robustly estimated. Chinese exports are generally well-behaved, rising with foreign GDP and decreasing as the Chinese renminbi (RMB) appreciates. However, the estimated income elasticity is sensitive to the treatment of time trends. Estimates of aggregate imports are more problematic. In many cases, Chinese aggregate imports actually rise in response to a RMB depreciation and decline with Chinese GDP. This is true even after accounting for the fact a substantial share of imports are subsequently incorporated into Chinese exports. We find that some of these counter-intuitive results are mitigated when we disaggregate the trade flows by customs type, commodity type, and the type of firm undertaking the transactions. However, for imports, we only obtain more reasonable estimates of elasticities when we allow for different import intensities for different components of aggregate demand (specifically, consumption versus investment), or when we include a relative productivity variable.
主题International Economics ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w17875
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575550
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GB/T 7714
Yin-Wong Cheung,Menzie D. Chinn,XingWang Qian. Are Chinese Trade Flows Different?. 2012.
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