| 来源类型 | Working Paper
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| DOI | 10.3386/w17903
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| 来源ID | Working Paper 17903
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| Perceptions and Misperceptions of Fiscal Inflation |
| Eric M. Leeper; Todd B. Walker
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| 发表日期 | 2012-03-08
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| 出版年 | 2012
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | The Great Recession and worldwide financial crisis have exploded fiscal imbalances and brought fiscal policy and inflation to the forefront of policy concerns. Those concerns will only grow as aging populations increase demands on government expenditures in coming decades. It is widely perceived that fiscal policy is inflationary if and only if it leads the central bank to print new currency to monetize deficits. Monetization can be inflationary. But it is a misperception that this is the only channel for fiscal inflations. Nominal bonds, the predominant form of government debt in advanced economies, derive their value from expected future nominal primary surpluses and money creation; changes in the price level can align the market value of debt to its expected real backing. This introduces a fresh channel, not requiring explicit monetization, through which fiscal deficits directly affect inflation. The paper describes various ways in which fiscal policy can directly affect inflation and explains why these fiscal effects are difficult to detect in time series data. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics
; Business Cycles
; Monetary Policy
; Fiscal Policy
|
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w17903
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| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575579
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Eric M. Leeper,Todd B. Walker. Perceptions and Misperceptions of Fiscal Inflation. 2012.
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文件名：
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w17903.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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