| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w17964 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 17964 |
| Explaining Recent Trends in the U.S. Teen Birth Rate | |
| Melissa Schettini Kearney; Phillip B. Levine | |
| 发表日期 | 2012-03-29 |
| 出版年 | 2012 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We investigate trends in the U.S. rate of teen childbearing between 1981 and 2010, giving particular attention to the sizable decline that has occurred since 1991. Our primary focus is on establishing the role of state-level demographic changes, economic conditions, and targeted policies in driving recent aggregate trends. We offer three main observations. First, the recent decline cannot be explained by the changing racial and ethnic composition of teens; in fact, all else equal, a rising share of Hispanic teens would have led to an increase in teen childbearing. A temporary increase in the share of teens aged 18-19 can account for nearly half of the transitory increase in teen childbearing around 1991. Second, the only targeted policies that have had a statistically discernible impact on teen birth rates are declining welfare benefits and expanded access to family planning services through Medicaid. However, the combined effect of these two policies is estimated to account for only 12 percent of the observed decline in teen childbearing from 1991-2010. Third, weak labor market conditions, as measured by the unemployment rate, do appear to lead to lower teen birth rates and can account for 28 percent of the decline in teen birth rates since the Great Recession began. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w17964 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575640 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Melissa Schettini Kearney,Phillip B. Levine. Explaining Recent Trends in the U.S. Teen Birth Rate. 2012. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w17964.pdf（659KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
