| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w17972 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 17972 |
| The Effect of Work First Job Placements on the Distribution of Earnings: An Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression Approach | |
| David H. Autor; Susan N. Houseman; Sari Pekkala Kerr | |
| 发表日期 | 2012-04-05 |
| 出版年 | 2012 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Federal and state employment programs for low-skilled workers typically emphasize rapid placement of participants into jobs and often place a large fraction of participants into temporary-help agency jobs. Using unique administrative data from Detroit's welfare-to-work program, we apply the Chernozhukov-Hansen instrumental variables quantile regression (IVQR) method to estimate the causal effects of welfare-to-work job placements on the distribution of participants' earnings. We find that neither direct-hire nor temporary-help job placements significantly affect the lower tail of the earnings distribution. Direct-hire placements, however, substantially raise the upper tail, yielding sizable earnings increases for more than fifty percent of participants over the medium-term (one to two years following placement). Conversely, temporary-help placements have zero or negative earnings impacts at all quantiles, and these effects are economically large and significant at higher quantiles. In net, we find that the widespread practice of placing disadvantaged workers into temporary-help jobs is an ineffective tool for improving earnings and, moreover, that programs focused solely on job placement fail to improve earnings among those who are hardest to serve. Methodologically, one surprising result is that a reduced-form quantile IV approach, akin to two-step instrumental variables, produces near-identical point estimates to the structural IVQR approach, which is based on much stronger assumptions. |
| 主题 | Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Labor Market Structures ; Unemployment and Immigration |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w17972 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575648 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | David H. Autor,Susan N. Houseman,Sari Pekkala Kerr. The Effect of Work First Job Placements on the Distribution of Earnings: An Instrumental Variable Quantile Regression Approach. 2012. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w17972.pdf（495KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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