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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18052
来源IDWorking Paper 18052
Bubble Thy Neighbor: Portfolio Effects and Externalities from Capital Controls
Kristin Forbes; Marcel Fratzscher; Thomas Kostka; Roland Straub
发表日期2012-05-10
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要We use changes in Brazil's tax on capital inflows from 2006 to 2011 to test for direct portfolio effects and externalities from capital controls on investor portfolios. The analysis is structured based on information from investor interviews. We find that an increase in Brazil's tax on foreign investment in bonds causes investors to significantly decrease their portfolio allocations to Brazil in both bonds and equities. Investors simultaneously increase allocations to other countries that have substantial exposure to China and decrease allocations to countries viewed as more likely to use capital controls. Much of the effect of capital controls on portfolio flows appears to occur through signalling --i.e. changes in investor expectations about future policies-- rather than the direct cost of the controls. This evidence of significant externalities from capital controls suggests that any assessment of controls should consider their effects on portfolio flows to other countries.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Globalization and International Relations ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18052
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575728
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Kristin Forbes,Marcel Fratzscher,Thomas Kostka,et al. Bubble Thy Neighbor: Portfolio Effects and Externalities from Capital Controls. 2012.
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