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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18231
来源IDWorking Paper 18231
The Long of It: Odds that Investor Sentiment Spuriously Predicts Anomaly Returns
Robert F. Stambaugh; Jianfeng Yu; Yu Yuan
发表日期2012-07-19
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要Extremely long odds accompany the chance that spurious-regression bias accounts for investor sentiment's observed role in stock-return anomalies. We replace investor sentiment with a simulated persistent series in regressions reported by Stambaugh, Yu and Yuan (2012), who find higher long-short anomaly profits following high sentiment, due entirely to the short leg. Among 200 million simulated regressors, we find none that support those conclusions as strongly as investor sentiment. The key is consistency across anomalies. Obtaining just the predicted signs for the regression coefficients across the 11 anomalies examined in the above study occurs only once for every 43 simulated regressors.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18231
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575907
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Robert F. Stambaugh,Jianfeng Yu,Yu Yuan. The Long of It: Odds that Investor Sentiment Spuriously Predicts Anomaly Returns. 2012.
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