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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18274
来源IDWorking Paper 18274
Time to Ship During Financial Crises
Nicolas Berman; José De Sousa; Philippe Martin; Thierry Mayer
发表日期2012-08-02
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要We show that the negative impact of financial crises on trade is magnified for destinations with longer time-to-ship. A simple model where exporters react to an increase in the probability of default of importers by increasing their export price and decreasing their export volumes to destinations in crisis is consistent with this empirical finding. For longer shipping time, those effects are indeed magnified as the probability of default increases as time passes. Some exporters also decide to stop exporting to the crisis destination, the more so the longer time-to-ship. Using aggregate data from 1950 to 2009, we find that this magnification effect is robust to alternative specifications, samples and inclusion of additional controls, including distance. The firm level predictions are also broadly consistent with French exporter data from 1995 to 2005.
主题International Economics ; Trade ; Financial Economics ; Corporate Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18274
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575950
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GB/T 7714
Nicolas Berman,José De Sousa,Philippe Martin,et al. Time to Ship During Financial Crises. 2012.
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