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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18291
来源IDWorking Paper 18291
Legislating Stock Prices
Lauren Cohen; Karl B. Diether; Christopher Malloy
发表日期2012-08-10
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要In this paper we demonstrate that legislation has a simple, yet previously undetected impact on firm stock prices. While it is understood that the government and firms have an important relationship, it remains difficult to determine which firms any given piece of legislation will affect, and how it will affect them. By observing the actions of legislators whose constituents are the affected firms, we can gather insights into the likely impact of government legislation on firms. Specifically, focusing attention on "interested" legislators' behavior captures important information seemingly ignored by the market. A long-short portfolio based on these legislators' views earns abnormal returns of over 90 basis points per month following the passage of legislation. Further, the more complex the legislation, the more difficulty the market has in assessing the impact of these bills. Consistent with the legislator incentive mechanism, the more concentrated the legislator's interest in the industry, the more informative are her votes for future returns.
主题Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18291
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575966
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GB/T 7714
Lauren Cohen,Karl B. Diether,Christopher Malloy. Legislating Stock Prices. 2012.
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