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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18305
来源IDWorking Paper 18305
Risks For the Long Run: Estimation with Time Aggregation
Ravi Bansal; Dana Kiku; Amir Yaron
发表日期2012-08-17
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要The long-run risks (LRR) asset pricing model emphasizes the role of low-frequency movements in expected growth and economic uncertainty, along with investor preferences for early resolution of uncertainty, as an important economic-channel that determines asset prices. In this paper, we estimate the LRR model. To accomplish this we develop a method that allows us to estimate models with recursive preferences, latent state variables, and time-aggregated data. Time-aggregation makes the decision interval of the agent an important parameter to estimate. We find that time-aggregation can significantly affect parameter estimates and statistical inference. Imposing the pricing restrictions and explicitly accounting for time-aggregation, we show that the estimated LRR model can account for the joint dynamics of aggregate consumption, asset cash flows and prices, including the equity premia, risk-free rate and volatility puzzles.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18305
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/575980
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Ravi Bansal,Dana Kiku,Amir Yaron. Risks For the Long Run: Estimation with Time Aggregation. 2012.
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