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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w18350 |
来源ID | Working Paper 18350 |
From Empty Pews to Empty Cradles: Fertility Decline Among European Catholics | |
Eli Berman; Laurence R. Iannaccone; Giuseppe Ragusa | |
发表日期 | 2012-08-31 |
出版年 | 2012 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Catholic countries of Europe pose a demographic puzzle -fertility is unprecedentedly low (total fertility=1.3) despite low female labor force participation. We model three channels of religious effects on demand for children: through changing norms, reduced market wages, and reduced costs of childrearing. We estimate their effects using new panel data on church attendance and clergy employment for thirteen European countries from 1960-2000, spanning the Second Vatican Council (1962-65). Catholic theology is uniform across countries. Yet service varied considerably across countries and over time, especially before the Council, reflecting differences in Church provision of education, health, welfare and other social services. We use differential declines in service provision --measured by nuns/capita-- to identify its effect on fertility, controlling for secular trends. They are large: 300 to 400 children per nun. Reduced religiosity (measured by church attendance) has no effect for Protestants, but predicts fertility decline for Catholics. The data suggest that service provision and religiosity complement each other -a finding consistent with preferential provision of services to church attendees. Nuns outperform priests in predicting fertility, suggesting that the childrearing cost channel dominates theology and norms. |
主题 | Public Economics ; Taxation ; Public Goods ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Poverty and Wellbeing ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Other ; Culture |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w18350 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576026 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Eli Berman,Laurence R. Iannaccone,Giuseppe Ragusa. From Empty Pews to Empty Cradles: Fertility Decline Among European Catholics. 2012. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w18350.pdf(510KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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