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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18380
来源IDWorking Paper 18380
On the Solvency of Nations: Cross-Country Evidence on the Dynamics of External Adjustment
C. Bora Durdu; Enrique G. Mendoza; Marco E. Terrones
发表日期2012-09-13
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要We test the hypothesis that net foreign asset positions are consistent with external solvency and examine the dynamics of external adjustment using data for 50 countries over the 1970-2006 period. Our analysis adapts Bohn's (2007) error-correction reaction function approach--which tests for a negative long-run relationship between net exports (NX) and net foreign assets (NFA) as a sufficiency condition for the intertemporal budget constraint to hold--to a dynamic panel framework. Pooled Mean Group and Mean Group error-correction estimation yield evidence of a statistically significant, negative response of NX to NFA. Moreover, we cannot reject the hypothesis that the response is largely homogeneous across countries. Our sensitivity analysis shows that the countries with relatively weaker fundamentals need to respond more strongly to the changes in NFA to keep their NFAs on a sustainable path.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18380
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576057
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C. Bora Durdu,Enrique G. Mendoza,Marco E. Terrones. On the Solvency of Nations: Cross-Country Evidence on the Dynamics of External Adjustment. 2012.
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