| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w18393 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 18393 |
| The Joint Identification of Utility and Discount Functions From Stated Choice Data: An Application to Durable Goods Adoption | |
| Jean-Pierre H. Dube; Günter J. Hitsch; Pranav Jindal | |
| 发表日期 | 2012-09-13 |
| 出版年 | 2012 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We present a survey design that generalizes static conjoint experiments to elicit inter-temporal adoption decisions for durable goods. We show that consumers' utility and discount functions in a dynamic discrete choice model are jointly identified using data generated by this specific design. In contrast, based on revealed preference data, the utility and discount functions are generally not jointly identified even if consumers' expectations are known. The separation of current-period preferences from discounting is necessary to forecast the diffusion of a durable good under alternative marketing strategies. We illustrate the approach using two surveys eliciting Blu-ray player adoption decisions. Both model-free evidence and the estimates based on a dynamic discrete choice model indicate that consumers make forward-looking adoption decisions. In both surveys the average discount rate is 43 percent, corresponding to a substantially higher degree of impatience than the rate implied by aggregate asset returns. The estimates also reveal a large degree of heterogeneity in the discount rates across consumers, but only little evidence for hyperbolic discounting. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Behavioral Economics ; Other ; Accounting, Marketing, and Personnel |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w18393 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576070 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jean-Pierre H. Dube,Günter J. Hitsch,Pranav Jindal. The Joint Identification of Utility and Discount Functions From Stated Choice Data: An Application to Durable Goods Adoption. 2012. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w18393.pdf（869KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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