| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w18500 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 18500 |
| Did the New Deal Solidify the 1932 Democratic Realignment? | |
| Shawn Kantor; Price V. Fishback; John Joseph Wallis | |
| 发表日期 | 2012-11-01 |
| 出版年 | 2012 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | The critical election of 1932 represented a turning point in the future electoral successes of the Democrats and Republicans for over three decades. This paper seeks to measure the importance of the New Deal in facilitating the Democrats' control of the federal government well into the 1960s. We test whether long-differences in the county-level electoral support for Democratic presidential candidates after the 1930s can be attributed to New Deal interventions into local economies. We also investigate more narrowly whether voters rewarded Roosevelt from 1932 to 1936 and from 1936 to 1940 for his efforts to stimulate depressed local economies. Our instrumental variables estimates indicate that increasing a county's per capita New Deal relief and public works spending from nothing to the sample mean ($277) would have increased the long-run support for the Democratic party by 10 percentage points. We further find that the long-run shift toward the Democratic party after 1928 was not a function of the Roosevelt landslide victory in 1932. Roosevelt's ability to win over voters during the 1936 and 1940 elections, however, did matter for the long-term. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; History ; Other History |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w18500 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576175 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Shawn Kantor,Price V. Fishback,John Joseph Wallis. Did the New Deal Solidify the 1932 Democratic Realignment?. 2012. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w18500.pdf（487KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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