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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w18507 |
来源ID | Working Paper 18507 |
Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration | |
Greg Kaplan; Sam Schulhofer-Wohl | |
发表日期 | 2012-11-01 |
出版年 | 2012 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We analyze the secular decline in interstate migration in the United States between 1991 and 2011. Gross flows of people across states are about 10 times larger than net flows, yet have declined by around 50 percent over the past 20 years. We argue that the fall in migration is due to a decline in the geographic specificity of returns to occupations, together with an increase in workers' ability to learn about other locations before moving there, through information technology and inexpensive travel. These explanations find support in micro data on the distribution of earnings and occupations across space and on rates of repeat migration. Other explanations, including compositional changes, regional changes, and the rise in real incomes, do not fit the data. We develop a model to formalize the geographic-specificity and information mechanisms and show that a calibrated version is consistent with cross-sectional and time-series patterns of migration, occupations, and incomes. Our mechanisms can explain at least one-third and possibly all of the decline in gross migration since 1991. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Regional Economics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w18507 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576181 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Greg Kaplan,Sam Schulhofer-Wohl. Understanding the Long-Run Decline in Interstate Migration. 2012. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w18507.pdf(544KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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