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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18607
来源IDWorking Paper 18607
Risk Management and Climate Change
Howard Kunreuther; Geoffrey Heal; Myles Allen; Ottmar Edenhofer; Christopher B. Field; Gary Yohe
发表日期2012-12-06
出版年2012
语种英语
摘要The selection of climate policies should be an exercise in risk management reflecting the many relevant sources of uncertainty. Studies of climate change and its impacts rarely yield consensus on the distribution of exposure, vulnerability, or possible outcomes. Hence policy analysis cannot effectively evaluate alternatives using standard approaches such as expected utility theory and benefit-cost analysis. This Perspective highlights the value of robust decision-making tools designed for situations, such as evaluating climate policies, where generally agreed-upon probability distributions are not available and stakeholders differ in their degree of risk tolerance. This broader risk management approach enables one to examine a range of possible outcomes and the uncertainty surrounding their likelihoods.
主题Econometrics ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18607
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576280
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Howard Kunreuther,Geoffrey Heal,Myles Allen,et al. Risk Management and Climate Change. 2012.
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