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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18668
来源IDWorking Paper 18668
Okun's Law: Fit at Fifty?
Laurence M. Ball; Daniel Leigh; Prakash Loungani
发表日期2013-01-04
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要This paper asks how well Okun's Law fits short-run unemployment movements in the United States since 1948 and in twenty advanced economies since 1980. We find that Okun's Law is a strong and stable relationship in most countries, one that did not change substantially during the Great Recession. Accounts of breakdowns in the Law, such as the emergence of "jobless recoveries," are flawed. We also find that the coefficient in the relationship - the effect of a one percent change in output on the unemployment rate - varies substantially across countries. This variation is partly explained by idiosyncratic features of national labor markets, but it is not related to differences in employment protection legislation.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18668
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576342
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Laurence M. Ball,Daniel Leigh,Prakash Loungani. Okun's Law: Fit at Fifty?. 2013.
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