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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18716
来源IDWorking Paper 18716
International Monetary Coordination and the Great Deviation
John B. Taylor
发表日期2013-01-17
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Research in the early 1980s found that the gains from international coordination of monetary policy were quantitatively small compared to simply getting domestic policy right. That prediction turned out to be a pretty good description of monetary policy in the 1980s, 1990s, and until recently. Because this balanced international picture has largely disappeared, the 1980s view about monetary policy coordination needs to be reexamined. The source of the problem is not that the models or the theory are wrong. Rather there was a deviation from the rule-like monetary policies that worked well in the 1980s and 1990s, and this deviation helped break down the international monetary balance. There were similar deviations at many central banks, an apparent spillover culminating in a global great deviation. The purpose of this paper is to examine the possible causes and consequences of these spillovers, and to show that uncoordinated responses of central banks to the deviations can create an amplification mechanism which might be overcome by some form of policy coordination.
主题Macroeconomics ; Monetary Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18716
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576390
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John B. Taylor. International Monetary Coordination and the Great Deviation. 2013.
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