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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18769
来源IDWorking Paper 18769
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data
Michael T. Owyang; Valerie A. Ramey; Sarah Zubairy
发表日期2013-02-01
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and Canada. Using an extension of Ramey's (2011) military news series and Jordà's (2005) method for estimating impulse responses, we find no evidence that multipliers are greater during periods of high unemployment in the U.S. In every case, the estimated multipliers are below unity. We do find some evidence of higher multipliers during periods of slack in Canada, with some multipliers above unity.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18769
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576443
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Michael T. Owyang,Valerie A. Ramey,Sarah Zubairy. Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data. 2013.
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