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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w18769 |
来源ID | Working Paper 18769 |
Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data | |
Michael T. Owyang; Valerie A. Ramey; Sarah Zubairy | |
发表日期 | 2013-02-01 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | A key question that has arisen during recent debates is whether government spending multipliers are larger during times when resources are idle. This paper seeks to shed light on this question by analyzing new quarterly historical data covering multiple large wars and depressions in the U.S. and Canada. Using an extension of Ramey's (2011) military news series and Jordà's (2005) method for estimating impulse responses, we find no evidence that multipliers are greater during periods of high unemployment in the U.S. In every case, the estimated multipliers are below unity. We do find some evidence of higher multipliers during periods of slack in Canada, with some multipliers above unity. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w18769 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576443 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michael T. Owyang,Valerie A. Ramey,Sarah Zubairy. Are Government Spending Multipliers Greater During Periods of Slack? Evidence from 20th Century Historical Data. 2013. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w18769.pdf(222KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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