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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18838
来源IDWorking Paper 18838
Bounding the Effects of Social Experiments: Accounting for Attrition in Administrative Data
Jeffrey Grogger
发表日期2013-02-28
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Social experiments frequently exploit data from administrative records. However, most administrative data systems are state-specific, designed to track earnings or benefit payments among residents within a single state. Once an experimental participant moves out of state, his earnings and benefits in his state of origin consist entirely of zeros, giving rise to a form of attrition. In the presence of such attrition, the average treatment effect of the experiment is no longer point-identified, despite random assignment. I propose a method to estimate such attrition and, for binary outcomes such as employment, to construct bounds on the average treatment effect. Results from a welfare-reform experiment considered to have sizeable effects appear quite ambiguous after accounting for attrition. The results have important implications for planning social experiments.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Experimental Design ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Poverty and Wellbeing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18838
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576513
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Jeffrey Grogger. Bounding the Effects of Social Experiments: Accounting for Attrition in Administrative Data. 2013.
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