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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18845
来源IDWorking Paper 18845
'Those Who Know Most': Insider Trading in 18th c. Amsterdam
Peter Koudijs
发表日期2013-02-28
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要This paper studies how private information is incorporated into prices, using a unique setting from the 18th century that, in many dimensions, is simpler and closer to stylized models of price discovery than modern-day markets. Specifically, the paper looks at a number of English securities that were traded in both London and Amsterdam. Relevant information about these securities originated in London and was sent to Amsterdam on board of official mail packet boats. Anecdotal evidence suggests that these ships carried both public news and private information. They sailed only twice a week, and in adverse weather could not sail at all. The paper exploits periods of exogenous market segmentation to identify the impact of private information. The evidence is consistent with a Kyle (1985) model in which informed agents trade strategically. Most importantly, the speed of information revelation in Amsterdam depended on how long insiders expected it would take for the private signal to become public. As a result of this strategic behavior, private information was only slowly revealed to the market as a whole. This price discovery was economically important: private signals had almost as much impact on prices as public information shocks.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; History ; Financial History
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18845
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576520
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GB/T 7714
Peter Koudijs. 'Those Who Know Most': Insider Trading in 18th c. Amsterdam. 2013.
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