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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w18866
来源IDWorking Paper 18866
On Returns Differentials
Stephanie E. Curcuru; Charles P. Thomas; Francis E. Warnock
发表日期2013-03-08
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Estimates of U.S. returns differentials have ranged from exorbitant to quite small, in part because of their volatility coupled with the relatively short time series available. We shed light on underlying drivers of returns differentials by presenting a number of decompositions: a by-asset-class decomposition into yields and capital gains, the Gourinchas and Rey (2007a) composition and return effects, and further decompositions of capital gains that focus on exchange rate effects. While each decomposition informs thinking about returns differentials, one constant is evident throughout: to date the existing differential favoring the U.S. has owed primarily to one factor, a differential in direct investment yields. We discuss how our analysis informs the income puzzle (of positive net income flows to the U.S. even as its net international investment position is negative and substantial) and the position puzzle (of a sizeable gap between the reported U.S. net international position and cumulated current account deficits), provide an initial assessment of the literature on the dynamics of returns differentials, and present a framework to guide a forward-looking view of how returns differentials might evolve in the future.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w18866
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576541
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GB/T 7714
Stephanie E. Curcuru,Charles P. Thomas,Francis E. Warnock. On Returns Differentials. 2013.
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