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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w19003 |
来源ID | Working Paper 19003 |
Community-Wide Job Loss and Teenage Fertility | |
Elizabeth Ananat; Anna Gassman-Pines; Christina M. Gibson-Davis | |
发表日期 | 2013-04-25 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We estimate the effects of economic downturns on the birth rates of 15- to 19-year-olds, using county-level business closings and layoffs in North Carolina over 1990-2010 as a plausibly exogenous source of variation in the strength of the local economy. We find little effect of job losses on the white teen birth rate. For black teens, however, job losses to 1% of the working-age population decrease the birth rate by around 2%. Birth declines start five months after the job loss and then last for over a year. Linking the timing of job losses and conceptions suggests that black teen births decline due to increased terminations and perhaps also changes in pre-pregnancy behaviors; national data on risk behaviors also provide evidence that black teens reduce sexual activity and increase contraception use in response to job losses. Job losses seven to nine months after conception do not affect teen birth rates, indicating that teens do not anticipate job losses and lending confidence that job losses are "shocks" that can be viewed as quasi-experimental variation. We also find evidence that relatively advantaged black teens disproportionately abort after job losses, implying that the average child born to a black teen in the wake of job loss is relatively more disadvantaged. |
主题 | Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Unemployment and Immigration |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w19003 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576677 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Elizabeth Ananat,Anna Gassman-Pines,Christina M. Gibson-Davis. Community-Wide Job Loss and Teenage Fertility. 2013. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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