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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w19003
来源IDWorking Paper 19003
Community-Wide Job Loss and Teenage Fertility
Elizabeth Ananat; Anna Gassman-Pines; Christina M. Gibson-Davis
发表日期2013-04-25
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要We estimate the effects of economic downturns on the birth rates of 15- to 19-year-olds, using county-level business closings and layoffs in North Carolina over 1990-2010 as a plausibly exogenous source of variation in the strength of the local economy. We find little effect of job losses on the white teen birth rate. For black teens, however, job losses to 1% of the working-age population decrease the birth rate by around 2%. Birth declines start five months after the job loss and then last for over a year. Linking the timing of job losses and conceptions suggests that black teen births decline due to increased terminations and perhaps also changes in pre-pregnancy behaviors; national data on risk behaviors also provide evidence that black teens reduce sexual activity and increase contraception use in response to job losses. Job losses seven to nine months after conception do not affect teen birth rates, indicating that teens do not anticipate job losses and lending confidence that job losses are "shocks" that can be viewed as quasi-experimental variation. We also find evidence that relatively advantaged black teens disproportionately abort after job losses, implying that the average child born to a black teen in the wake of job loss is relatively more disadvantaged.
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19003
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576677
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Elizabeth Ananat,Anna Gassman-Pines,Christina M. Gibson-Davis. Community-Wide Job Loss and Teenage Fertility. 2013.
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