| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w19148 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 19148 |
| Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation | |
| Joseph S. Vavra | |
| 发表日期 | 2013-06-20 |
| 出版年 | 2013 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Is monetary policy less effective at increasing real output during periods of high volatility than during normal times? In this paper, I argue that greater volatility leads to an increase in aggregate price flexibility so that nominal stimulus mostly generates inflation rather than output growth. To do this, I construct price-setting models with "volatility shocks" and show these models match new facts in CPI micro data that standard price-setting models miss. I then show that these models imply output responds less to nominal stimulus during times of high volatility. Furthermore, since volatility is countercyclical, this implies that nominal stimulus has smaller real effects during downturns. For example, the estimated output response to additional nominal stimulus in September 1995, a time of low volatility, is 55 percent larger than the response in October 2001, a time of high volatility. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Macroeconomics ; Macroeconomic Models ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w19148 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576822 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Joseph S. Vavra. Inflation Dynamics and Time-Varying Volatility: New Evidence and an Ss Interpretation. 2013. |
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