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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w19205
来源IDWorking Paper 19205
Capital Controls in Brazil - Stemming a Tide with a Signal?
Yothin Jinjarak; Ilan Noy; Huanhuan Zheng
发表日期2013-07-11
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Controls on capital inflows have been experiencing a renaissance since 2008, with several prominent emerging markets implementing them. We focus on Brazil, which instituted five changes in its capital account regime in 2008-2011. Using the synthetic control method, we construct counterfactuals (i.e., Brazil with no policy change) for each of these changes. We find no evidence that any tightening of controls was effective in reducing the magnitudes of capital inflows, but we observe some modest and short-lived success in preventing further declines in inflows when the capital controls were relaxed. We hypothesize that price-based capital controls' only perceptible effect is to be found in the content of the signal they broadcast regarding the government's larger intentions and sensibilities. Brazil's left-of-center government's willingness to remove controls was perceived as a noteworthy indication that the government was not as hostile to the international financial markets as many expected it to be.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19205
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576878
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Yothin Jinjarak,Ilan Noy,Huanhuan Zheng. Capital Controls in Brazil - Stemming a Tide with a Signal?. 2013.
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