| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w19266 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 19266 |
| Predation, Taxation, Investment and Violence: Evidence from the Philippines | |
| Eli Berman; Joseph Felter; Ethan Kapstein; Erin Troland | |
| 发表日期 | 2013-08-01 |
| 出版年 | 2013 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper explores the relationship between investment and political violence through several possible mechanisms. Investment as a predictor of future violence implies that low private sector investment today provides a robust indicator of high violence tomorrow. "Rent-capture" or predation asserts that investment increases violence by motivating extortion by insurgents. A "hearts and minds" approach links investment to political violence in two possible ways: through an opportunity cost mechanism by which improved economic conditions raise the cost of rebel recruitment; and through a psychological "gratitude" effect which reduces cooperation of noncombatants with rebels. Finally, tax capture implies that government will increase coercive enforcement in an attempt to control areas where increased investment increases tax revenue. We lay out these mechanisms in a framework with strategic interaction between rebels, communities, government and firms within an information-centric or "hearts and minds" counterinsurgency model. We test these mechanisms in the context of the Philippines in the first decade of this century, using information on violent incidents initiated by both rebels and government and new data on industrial building permits, an indicator of economic investment. Increases in investment are positively correlated with both rebel and government initiated violence. In the context of our theory that constitutes unequivocal evidence of predation, is consistent with tax capture, and weighs against predictive investment, opportunity costs or gratitude being a dominant effect. |
| 主题 | International Economics ; Globalization and International Relations ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; Public Goods ; National Fiscal Issues ; Other ; Law and Economics ; History ; Other History ; Development and Growth ; Development |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w19266 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/576942 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Eli Berman,Joseph Felter,Ethan Kapstein,et al. Predation, Taxation, Investment and Violence: Evidence from the Philippines. 2013. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
