全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Disease in China and India: Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w19335
来源ID	Working Paper 19335
	The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Disease in China and India: Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons
	David E. Bloom; Elizabeth T. Cafiero; Mark E. McGovern; Klaus Prettner; Anderson Stanciole; Jonathan Weiss; Samuel Bakkila; Larry Rosenberg
发表日期	2013-08-16
出版年	2013
语种	英语
摘要	This paper provides estimates of the economic impact of non-communicable diseases (NCDs) in China and India for the period 2012-2030. Our estimates are derived using WHO's EPIC model of economic growth, which focuses on the negative effects of NCDs on labor supply and capital accumulation. We present results for the five main NCDs (cardiovascular disease, cancer, chronic respiratory disease, diabetes, and mental health). Our undiscounted estimates indicate that the cost of the five main NCDs will total USD 27.8 trillion for China and USD 6.2 trillion for India (in 2010 USD). For both countries, the most costly domains are cardiovascular disease and mental health, followed by respiratory disease. Our analyses also reveal that the costs are much larger in China than in India mainly because of China's higher income and older population. Rough calculations also indicate that WHO's Best Buys for addressing the challenge of NCDs are highly cost-beneficial.
主题	Macroeconomics ; Macroeconomic Models ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w19335
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577010
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	David E. Bloom,Elizabeth T. Cafiero,Mark E. McGovern,et al. The Economic Impact of Non-Communicable Disease in China and India: Estimates, Projections, and Comparisons. 2013.