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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w19465
来源IDWorking Paper 19465
Demography and Low Frequency Capital Flows
David Backus; Thomas Cooley; Espen Henriksen
发表日期2013-09-26
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要We consider the causes of international capital flows. Since capital flows are extremely persistent, we argue that their drivers must be persistent, too. We think the most compelling candidates are demographic trends, tfp differences and financial frictions. In this paper we focus primarily on the role of demography in a multi-country overlapping generations model in which saving decisions are tied to agents' life expectancy. Capital flows reflect differences between saving and investment across countries. Demographic changes affect the aggregate accumulation of assets in two ways: by changing life expectancy which changes individual household saving behavior, and by changing the age distribution of the population by which individual household decisions are aggregated. The most important drivers turn out to be increases in life expectancy caused by decreases in adult mortality.We use a quantitative version of the model to illustrate the impact of demography on capital flows and net foreign assets in China, Germany, Japan, and the United States.
主题Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19465
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577139
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
David Backus,Thomas Cooley,Espen Henriksen. Demography and Low Frequency Capital Flows. 2013.
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