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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w19486
来源IDWorking Paper 19486
Accounting for Expectational and Structural Error in Binary Choice Problems: A Moment Inequality Approach
Michael J. Dickstein; Eduardo Morales
发表日期2013-09-26
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Many economic decisions involve a binary choice - for example, when consumers decide to purchase a good or when firms decide to enter a new market. In such settings, agents' choices often depend on imperfect expectations of the future payoffs from their decision (expectational error) as well as factors that the econometrician does not observe (structural error). In this paper, we show that expectational error, under an assumption of rational expectations, is a source of classical measurement error, and we propose a novel moment inequality estimator that accounts for both expectational error and structural error in a binary choice model. With simulated data and Chilean firm-level customs data, we illustrate the identifying power of our inequalities and show the biases that arise when one ignores either source of error. We use the customs data to estimate the fixed costs exporters face when entering a new market.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; International Economics ; Trade ; Industrial Organization ; Market Structure and Firm Performance
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19486
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577160
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GB/T 7714
Michael J. Dickstein,Eduardo Morales. Accounting for Expectational and Structural Error in Binary Choice Problems: A Moment Inequality Approach. 2013.
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