G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w19498
来源IDWorking Paper 19498
Left, Right, Left: Income, Learning and Political Dynamics
John Morrow; Michael Carter
发表日期2013-10-04
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要The political left turn in Latin America, which lagged its transition to liberalized market economies by a decade or more, challenges conventional economic explanations of voting behavior. This paper generalizes the forward-looking voter model to a broad range of dynamic, non-concave income processes. The model implies support for redistributive policies materializes rapidly if few prospects of upward mobility are present. In contrast, modeling voters' ideologically charged beliefs about income dynamics shows a slow and polarizing shift toward redistributive preferences occurs. Simulation using fitted income dynamics suggests that imperfect information better accounts for the shift back to the left, and offers additional insights about political dynamics.
主题Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Economics of Information ; Other ; Economic Systems
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19498
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577172
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
John Morrow,Michael Carter. Left, Right, Left: Income, Learning and Political Dynamics. 2013.
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