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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w19498 |
来源ID | Working Paper 19498 |
Left, Right, Left: Income, Learning and Political Dynamics | |
John Morrow; Michael Carter | |
发表日期 | 2013-10-04 |
出版年 | 2013 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The political left turn in Latin America, which lagged its transition to liberalized market economies by a decade or more, challenges conventional economic explanations of voting behavior. This paper generalizes the forward-looking voter model to a broad range of dynamic, non-concave income processes. The model implies support for redistributive policies materializes rapidly if few prospects of upward mobility are present. In contrast, modeling voters' ideologically charged beliefs about income dynamics shows a slow and polarizing shift toward redistributive preferences occurs. Simulation using fitted income dynamics suggests that imperfect information better accounts for the shift back to the left, and offers additional insights about political dynamics. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Economics of Information ; Other ; Economic Systems |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w19498 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577172 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | John Morrow,Michael Carter. Left, Right, Left: Income, Learning and Political Dynamics. 2013. |
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