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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w19588
来源IDWorking Paper 19588
The Optimal Currency Area in a Liquidity Trap
David Cook; Michael B. Devereux
发表日期2013-10-31
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要Open economy macro theory says that when a country is subject to idiosyncratic macro shocks, it should have its own currency and a flexible exchange rate. But recently in many countries policy rates have been pushed down close to the lower bound, limiting the ability of policy-makers to accommodate shocks, even in open economies with flexible exchange rates. In this paper, we show that if the zero bound constraint is binding and policy lacks an effective `forward guidance' mechanism, a flexible exchange rate system may be inferior to a single currency area, even when there are country-specific macro shocks. When monetary policy is constrained by the zero bound, under independent currencies with flexible exchange rates, the exchange rate exacerbates the impact of shocks. Remarkably, this may hold true even if only a subset of countries are constrained by the zero bound, and other countries freely adjust their interest rates. In order for a regime of multiple currencies to dominate a single currency area in a liquidity trap environment, it is necessary to have effective forward guidance in monetary policy.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19588
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577263
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
David Cook,Michael B. Devereux. The Optimal Currency Area in a Liquidity Trap. 2013.
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