G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w19638
来源IDWorking Paper 19638
Macroeconomic Determinants of Retirement Timing
Yuriy Gorodnichenko; Jae Song; Dmitriy Stolyarov
发表日期2013-11-14
出版年2013
语种英语
摘要We analyze lifetime earnings histories of white males during 1960-2010 and categorize the labor force status of every worker as either working full-time, partially retired or fully retired. We find that the fraction of partially retired workers has risen dramatically (from virtually 0 to 15 percent for 60-62 year olds), and that the duration of partial retirement spells has been steadily increasing. We estimate the response of retirement timing to variations in unemployment rate, inflation and housing prices. Flows into both full and partial retirement increase significantly when the unemployment rate rises. Workers around normal retirement age are especially sensitive to variations in the unemployment rate. Workers who are partially retired show a differential response to a high unemployment rate: younger workers increase their partial retirement spell, while older workers accelerate their transition to full retirement. We also find that high inflation discourages full-time work and encourages partial and full retirement. Housing prices do not have a significant impact on retirement timing.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w19638
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577312
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Yuriy Gorodnichenko,Jae Song,Dmitriy Stolyarov. Macroeconomic Determinants of Retirement Timing. 2013.
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