| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w19830 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 19830 |
| The Future of U.S. Economic Growth | |
| John G. Fernald; Charles I. Jones | |
| 发表日期 | 2014-01-23 |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Modern growth theory suggests that more than 3/4 of growth since 1950 reflects rising educational attainment and research intensity. As these transition dynamics fade, U.S. economic growth is likely to slow at some point. However, the rise of China, India, and other emerging economies may allow another few decades of rapid growth in world researchers. Finally, and more speculatively, the shape of the idea production function introduces a fundamental uncertainty into the future of growth. For example, the possibility that artificial intelligence will allow machines to replace workers to some extent could lead to higher growth in the future. |
| 主题 | Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w19830 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577505 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | John G. Fernald,Charles I. Jones. The Future of U.S. Economic Growth. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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