G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w20110
来源IDWorking Paper 20110
Asset Pricing with Countercyclical Household Consumption Risk
George M. Constantinides; Anisha Ghosh
发表日期2014-05-08
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要We show that shocks to household consumption growth are negatively skewed, persistent, countercyclical, and drive asset prices. We construct a parsimonious model where heterogeneous households have recursive preferences. A single state variable drives the conditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth. The estimated model fits well the unconditional cross-sectional moments of household consumption growth and the moments of the risk-free rate, equity premium, price-dividend ratio, and aggregate dividend and consumption growth. The model-implied risk-free rate and price-dividend ratio are procyclical while the market return has countercyclical mean and variance. Finally, household consumption risk explains the cross-section of excess returns.
主题Microeconomics ; Market Structure and Distribution ; General Equilibrium ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20110
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577783
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
George M. Constantinides,Anisha Ghosh. Asset Pricing with Countercyclical Household Consumption Risk. 2014.
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