G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w20228
来源IDWorking Paper 20228
The Real Exchange Rate in the Long Run: Balassa-Samuelson Effects Reconsidered
Michael D. Bordo; Ehsan U. Choudhri; Giorgio Fazio; Ronald MacDonald
发表日期2014-06-27
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要Historical data for over hundred years and 14 countries is used to estimate the long-run effect of productivity on the real exchange rate. We find large variations in the productivity effect across four distinct monetary regimes in the sample period. Although the traditional Balassa-Samuelson model is not consistent with these results, we suggest an explanation of the results in terms of contemporary variants of the model that incorporate the terms of trade mechanism. Specifically we argue that changes in trade costs over time may affect the impact of productivity on the real exchange rate over time. We undertake simulations of the modern versions of the Balassa-Samuelson model to show that plausible parameter shifts consistent with the behavior of trade costs can explain the cross-regime variation of the productivity effect.
主题International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20228
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577941
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Michael D. Bordo,Ehsan U. Choudhri,Giorgio Fazio,et al. The Real Exchange Rate in the Long Run: Balassa-Samuelson Effects Reconsidered. 2014.
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