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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w20228 |
来源ID | Working Paper 20228 |
The Real Exchange Rate in the Long Run: Balassa-Samuelson Effects Reconsidered | |
Michael D. Bordo; Ehsan U. Choudhri; Giorgio Fazio; Ronald MacDonald | |
发表日期 | 2014-06-27 |
出版年 | 2014 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Historical data for over hundred years and 14 countries is used to estimate the long-run effect of productivity on the real exchange rate. We find large variations in the productivity effect across four distinct monetary regimes in the sample period. Although the traditional Balassa-Samuelson model is not consistent with these results, we suggest an explanation of the results in terms of contemporary variants of the model that incorporate the terms of trade mechanism. Specifically we argue that changes in trade costs over time may affect the impact of productivity on the real exchange rate over time. We undertake simulations of the modern versions of the Balassa-Samuelson model to show that plausible parameter shifts consistent with the behavior of trade costs can explain the cross-regime variation of the productivity effect. |
主题 | International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w20228 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577941 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Michael D. Bordo,Ehsan U. Choudhri,Giorgio Fazio,et al. The Real Exchange Rate in the Long Run: Balassa-Samuelson Effects Reconsidered. 2014. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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