| 来源类型 | Working Paper
|
| 规范类型 | 报告
|
| DOI | 10.3386/w20298
|
| 来源ID | Working Paper 20298
|
| The Long-Run Effects of a Public Policy on Alcohol Tastes and Mortality |
| Lorenz Kueng; Evgeny Yakovlev
|
| 发表日期 | 2014-07-10
|
| 出版年 | 2014
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | We study the long-run effects of Russia's anti-alcohol campaign, which dramatically altered the relative supply of hard and light alcohol in the late 1980s. We find that this policy shifted young men's long-run preferences from hard to light alcohol decades later and we estimate the age at which consumers form their tastes. We show that the large beer market expansion in the late 1990s had similar effects on young consumers' tastes, while older consumers' tastes remained largely unchanged. We then link these long-run changes in alcohol consumption patterns to changes in male mortality. The shift from hard to light alcohol reduced incidences of binge drinking substantially, leading to fewer alcohol- related deaths. We conclude that the resulting large cohort differences in current alcohol consumption shares explain a significant part of the recent decrease in male mortality. Simulations suggest that mortality will continue to decrease by another 23% over the next twenty years due to persistent changes in consumer tastes. Program impact evaluations that focus only on contemporaneous effects can therefore severely underestimate the total effect of such public policies that change preferences for goods. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics
; Households and Firms
; Macroeconomics
; Consumption and Investment
; Health, Education, and Welfare
; Health
|
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w20298
|
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
|
| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
|
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577971
|
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Lorenz Kueng,Evgeny Yakovlev. The Long-Run Effects of a Public Policy on Alcohol Tastes and Mortality. 2014.
|
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