全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): The Micro and Macro of Disappearing Routine Jobs: A Flows Approach

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w20307
来源ID	Working Paper 20307
	The Micro and Macro of Disappearing Routine Jobs: A Flows Approach
	Guido Matias Cortes; Nir Jaimovich; Christopher J. Nekarda; Henry E. Siu
发表日期	2014-07-17
出版年	2014
语种	英语
摘要	The U.S. labor market has become increasingly polarized since the 1980s, with the share of employment in middle-wage occupations shrinking over time. This job polarization process has been associated with the disappearance of per capita employment in occupations focused on routine tasks. We use matched individual-level data from the CPS to study labor market flows into and out of routine occupations and determine how this disappearance has played out at the "micro" and "macro" levels. At the macro level, we determine which changes in transition rates account for the disappearance of routine employment since the 1980s. We find that changes in three transition rate categories are of primary importance: (i) that from unemployment to employment in routine occupations, (ii) that from labor force non-participation to routine employment, and (iii) that from routine employment to non-participation. At the micro level, we study how these transition rates have changed since job polarization, and the extent to which these changes are accounted for by changes in demographic composition or changes in the behavior of individuals with particular demographic characteristics. We find that the preponderance of changes is due to the propensity of individuals to make such transitions, and relatively little due to demographics. Moreover, we find that changes in the transition propensities of the young are of primary importance in accounting for the fall in routine employment.
主题	Macroeconomics ; Labor Economics
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w20307
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/577981
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Guido Matias Cortes,Nir Jaimovich,Christopher J. Nekarda,et al. The Micro and Macro of Disappearing Routine Jobs: A Flows Approach. 2014.