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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w20391
来源IDWorking Paper 20391
Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending
Peter Benczur; Cosmin L. Ilut
发表日期2014-08-21
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要This paper presents direct evidence for relational contracts in sovereign bank lending. Unlike the existing empirical literature, its instrumental variables method allows for distinguishing a direct influence of past repayment problems on current spreads (a "punishment" effect in prices) from an indirect effect through higher expected future default probabilities ("loss of reputation"). Such a punishment provides positive surplus to lenders after a default and decreases the borrower's present discounted value of the net benefits of future borrowing, which create dynamic incentives. Using data on bank loans to developing countries between 1973-1981 and constructing continuous variables for credit history, we find evidence that most of the influence of past repayment problems is through the direct, punishment channel.
主题Microeconomics ; Game Theory ; Economics of Information ; International Economics ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20391
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578065
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GB/T 7714
Peter Benczur,Cosmin L. Ilut. Evidence for Relational Contracts in Sovereign Bank Lending. 2014.
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