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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w20426
来源IDWorking Paper 20426
Housing Bubbles
Edward L. Glaeser; Charles G. Nathanson
发表日期2014-08-28
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要Housing markets experience substantial price volatility, short term price change momentum and mean reversion of prices over the long run. Together these features, particularly at their most extreme, produce the classic shape of an asset bubble. In this paper, we review the stylized facts of housing bubbles and discuss theories that can potentially explain events like the boom-bust cycles of the 2000s. One set of theories assumes rationality and uses idiosyncratic features of the housing market, such as intensive search and short selling constraints, to explain the stylized facts. Cheap credit provides a particularly common rationalization for price booms, but temporary periods of low interest rates will not explain massive price swings in simple rational models. An incorrectly under-priced default option is needed to explain the formation of rational bubbles. Many non-rational explanations for real estate bubbles exist, but the most promising theories emphasize some form of trend-chasing, which in turn reflects boundedly rational learning.
主题Regional and Urban Economics ; Real Estate
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20426
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578099
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Edward L. Glaeser,Charles G. Nathanson. Housing Bubbles. 2014.
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