| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w20444 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 20444 |
| Is the 'Quarter of Birth' Endogenous? Evidence From One Million Siblings in Taiwan | |
| Elliott Fan; Jin-Tan Liu; Yen-Chien Chen | |
| 发表日期 | 2014-08-28 |
| 出版年 | 2014 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Recent studies based on US data have provided evidence to suggest that the 'quarter of birth' (QOB) may be endogenous and that the use of QOB as an instrumental variable will consequently produce inconsistent estimates (see Buckles and Hungerman, 2013). Such potential endogeneity is addressed in this study by estimating the effects of QOB on university attendance using a Taiwanese dataset on approximately one million siblings. Our estimations are mainly reliant upon the strength of the family fixed-effects model, a regression discontinuity design and a simulation procedure. Our results, in sharp contrast to the US findings, suggest that family background characteristics can explain very little of the relationship between QOB and the probability of university attendance at the age of 18. The disparity between the US and Taiwanese findings may be due to high-'socioeconomic status' (SES) women in the US disproportionately planning births away from the winter months, as suggested by Buckles and Hungerman (2013), whereas the seasonality of births is virtually identical for low- and high-SES mothers in Taiwan. Our findings imply that the endogeneity of QOB is of less concern in the case of Taiwan, perhaps due to the milder winter climate. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w20444 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578116 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Elliott Fan,Jin-Tan Liu,Yen-Chien Chen. Is the 'Quarter of Birth' Endogenous? Evidence From One Million Siblings in Taiwan. 2014. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
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