全球智库信息集成服务系统(G2TT): The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics after a Natural Disaster

G2TT

来源类型	Working Paper
规范类型	报告
DOI	10.3386/w20448
来源ID	Working Paper 20448
	The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics after a Natural Disaster
	Jenna Nobles; Elizabeth Frankenberg; Duncan Thomas
发表日期	2014-09-05
出版年	2014
语种	英语
摘要	Understanding how mortality and fertility are linked is essential to the study of population dynamics. We investigate the fertility response to an unanticipated mortality shock that resulted from the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami, which killed large shares of the residents of some Indonesian communities but caused no deaths in neighboring communities. Using population-representative multilevel longitudinal data, we identify a behavioral fertility response to mortality exposure, both at the level of a couple and in the broader community. We observe a sustained fertility increase at the aggregate level following the tsunami, which is driven by two behavioral responses to mortality exposure. First, mothers who lost one or more children in the disaster are significantly more likely to bear additional children after the tsunami. This response explains about 13 percent of the aggregate increase in fertility. Second, women without children before the tsunami initiated family-building earlier in communities where tsunami-related mortality rates were higher, indicating that the fertility of these women is an important route to rebuilding the population in the aftermath of a mortality shock. Such community-level effects have received little attention in demographic scholarship.
主题	Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Development and Growth ; Development
URL	https://www.nber.org/papers/w20448
来源智库	National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
引用统计
资源类型	智库出版物
条目标识符	http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578120
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714	Jenna Nobles,Elizabeth Frankenberg,Duncan Thomas. The Effects of Mortality on Fertility: Population Dynamics after a Natural Disaster. 2014.