G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w20576
来源IDWorking Paper 20576
Inflation Expectations, Learning and Supermarket Prices
Alberto Cavallo; Guillermo Cruces; Ricardo Perez-Truglia
发表日期2014-10-13
出版年2014
语种英语
摘要Information frictions play a central role in the formation of household inflation expectations, but there is no consensus about their origins. We address this question with novel evidence from survey experiments. We document two main findings. First, individuals in lower-inflation contexts have significantly weaker priors about the inflation rate. This finding suggests that rational inattention may be an important source of information frictions. Second, cognitive limitations also appear to be a source of information frictions: even when information about inflation statistics is made readily available, individuals still place a significant weight on less accurate sources of information, such as their memories of the price changes of the supermarket products they purchase. We discuss the implications of these findings for macroeconomic models and policy-making.
主题Econometrics ; Experimental Design ; Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w20576
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578250
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GB/T 7714
Alberto Cavallo,Guillermo Cruces,Ricardo Perez-Truglia. Inflation Expectations, Learning and Supermarket Prices. 2014.
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