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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w20783 |
来源ID | Working Paper 20783 |
Inter-temporal R&D and Capital Investment Portfolios for the Electricity Industry\u2019s Low Carbon Future | |
Nidhi R. Santen; Mort D. Webster; David Popp; Ignacio Pérez-Arriaga | |
发表日期 | 2014-12-29 |
出版年 | 2014 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This paper explores cost-effective low-carbon R&D and capital investment portfolios for the electricity generation sector through 2060. We present a novel method for long-term planning by combining an economic model of endogenous non-linear technical change and a generation capacity planning model with key features of the electricity system. The model captures the complementary nature of technologies in the power sector; physical integration constraints; and the opportunity to build new knowledge capital as a non-linear function of R&D and accumulated knowledge, which reflects the diminishing marginal returns to research characteristic of the energy innovation process. We show portfolios for future scenarios with and without carbon emission limits, and demonstrate the importance of including various features by comparing results from a reference version of the model to results from alternative versions that omit these features. Our results caution that using economic frameworks that do not incorporate critical electricity and innovation system features may over- or under-estimate the value of emerging technologies, and therefore the cost-effectiveness of R&D opportunities. |
主题 | Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w20783 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578458 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Nidhi R. Santen,Mort D. Webster,David Popp,et al. Inter-temporal R&D and Capital Investment Portfolios for the Electricity Industry\u2019s Low Carbon Future. 2014. |
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