| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w20900 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 20900 |
| Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad? | |
| Mark C. Freeman; Gernot Wagner; Richard J. Zeckhauser | |
| 发表日期 | 2015-02-02 |
| 出版年 | 2015 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Climate change is real and dangerous. Exactly how bad it will get, however, is uncertain. Uncertainty is particularly relevant for estimates of one of the key parameters: equilibrium climate sensitivity—how eventual temperatures will react as atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations double. Despite significant advances in climate science and increased confidence in the accuracy of the range itself, the “likely” range has been 1.5-4.5°C for over three decades. In 2007, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) narrowed it to 2-4.5°C, only to reverse its decision in 2013, reinstating the prior range. In addition, the 2013 IPCC report removed prior mention of 3°C as the “best estimate.” |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Economics of Information ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w20900 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578574 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mark C. Freeman,Gernot Wagner,Richard J. Zeckhauser. Climate Sensitivity Uncertainty: When is Good News Bad?. 2015. |
| 条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 | |||||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
