| 来源类型 | Working Paper
|
| 规范类型 | 报告
|
| DOI | 10.3386/w21111
|
| 来源ID | Working Paper 21111
|
| Benefit Incidence with Incentive Effects, Measurement Errors and Latent Heterogeneity: A Case Study for China |
| Martin Ravallion; Shaohua Chen
|
| 发表日期 | 2015-04-20
|
| 出版年 | 2015
|
| 语种 | 英语
|
| 摘要 | In what is probably the largest cash transfer program in the world today China’s Dibao program aims to fill all poverty gaps. In theory, the program creates a poverty trap, with 100% benefit withdrawal rate (BWR). But is that what we see in practice? The paper proposes an econometric method of estimating the mean BWR allowing for incentive effects, measurement errors and correlated latent heterogeneity. Under the method’s identifying assumptions, a feasible instrumental variables estimator corrects for incentive effects and measurement errors, and provides a bound for the true value when there is correlated incidence heterogeneity. The results suggest that past methods of assessing benefit incidence using either nominal official rates or raw tabulations from survey data are deceptive. The actual BWR appears to be much lower than the formal rate, and is also lower than the rate implied by optimal income tax models for poverty reduction. The paper discusses likely reasons based on qualitative observations from field work. The program’s local implementation appears to matter far more than incentives implied by its formal rules. |
| 主题 | Public Economics
; Taxation
; Health, Education, and Welfare
; Poverty and Wellbeing
; Development and Growth
; Development
|
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21111
|
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578786
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Martin Ravallion,Shaohua Chen. Benefit Incidence with Incentive Effects, Measurement Errors and Latent Heterogeneity: A Case Study for China. 2015.
|
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