G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21224
来源IDWorking Paper 21224
Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices
Erik Eyster; Matthew Rabin; Dimitri Vayanos
发表日期2015-06-01
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要We present a model of a financial market where some traders are "cursed" when choosing how much to invest in a risky asset, failing to fully take into account what prices convey about others' private information. Cursed traders put more weight on their private signals than rational traders. But because they neglect that the price encodes other traders' information, prices depend less on private signals and more on public signals than rational-expectation-equilibrium (REE) prices. Markets comprised entirely of cursed traders generate more trade than those comprised entirely of rationals; mixed markets can generate even more trade, as rationals employ momentum-trading strategies to exploit cursed traders. We contrast our results to other models of departures from REE and show that per-trader volume with cursed traders increases when the market becomes large, while natural forms of overconfidence predict that volume should converge to zero.
主题Microeconomics ; General Equilibrium ; Economics of Information ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21224
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578899
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Erik Eyster,Matthew Rabin,Dimitri Vayanos. Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices. 2015.
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