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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w21224 |
来源ID | Working Paper 21224 |
Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices | |
Erik Eyster; Matthew Rabin; Dimitri Vayanos | |
发表日期 | 2015-06-01 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We present a model of a financial market where some traders are "cursed" when choosing how much to invest in a risky asset, failing to fully take into account what prices convey about others' private information. Cursed traders put more weight on their private signals than rational traders. But because they neglect that the price encodes other traders' information, prices depend less on private signals and more on public signals than rational-expectation-equilibrium (REE) prices. Markets comprised entirely of cursed traders generate more trade than those comprised entirely of rationals; mixed markets can generate even more trade, as rationals employ momentum-trading strategies to exploit cursed traders. We contrast our results to other models of departures from REE and show that per-trader volume with cursed traders increases when the market becomes large, while natural forms of overconfidence predict that volume should converge to zero. |
主题 | Microeconomics ; General Equilibrium ; Economics of Information ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing ; Financial Markets |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21224 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578899 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Erik Eyster,Matthew Rabin,Dimitri Vayanos. Financial Markets where Traders Neglect the Informational Content of Prices. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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