G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w21243
来源IDWorking Paper 21243
Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures Ten Years Later
Geetesh Bhardwaj; Gary Gorton; Geert Rouwenhorst
发表日期2015-06-08
出版年2015
语种英语
摘要Gorton and Rouwenhorst (2006) examined commodity futures returns over the period July 1959 to December 2004 based on an equally-weighted index. They found that fully collateralized commodity futures had historically offered the same return and Sharpe ratio as U.S. equities, but were negatively correlated with the return on stocks and bonds. Reviewing these results ten years later, we find that our conclusions largely hold up out-of-sample. The in- and out-of-sample average commodity risk premiums are not significantly different, nor is the cross-sectional relationship between average returns and the basis. Correlations among commodities and commodity correlations with other assets experienced a temporary increase during the financial crisis which is in line with historical experience of variation of these correlations over the business cycle.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w21243
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/578918
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Geetesh Bhardwaj,Gary Gorton,Geert Rouwenhorst. Facts and Fantasies about Commodity Futures Ten Years Later. 2015.
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