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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w21330 |
来源ID | Working Paper 21330 |
(Un)Informed College and Major Choice: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data | |
Justine S. Hastings; Christopher A. Neilson; Anely Ramirez; Seth D. Zimmerman | |
发表日期 | 2015-07-13 |
出版年 | 2015 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We use large-scale surveys of Chilean college applicants and college students to explore the way students form beliefs about earnings and cost outcomes at different institutions and majors and how these beliefs relate to degree choice and persistence. Linking our survey records to administrative education and earnings data, we compare earnings and cost expectations to observed values for past students and follow survey participants forward to see how beliefs relate to matriculation and dropout outcomes. We find that students have correctly centered but noisy cost expectations, and appear to systematically overestimate earnings outcomes for past graduates. Students who overestimate costs are less likely to matriculate in any degree program and in their stated first-choice program, and are more likely to drop out. Students who overestimate earnings matriculate at similar rates to other students, but choose degree programs where past students have been less likely to graduate, have earned less early in their careers, and have been more likely to default on student loans. Consistent with an informal model of enrollment choice, students with a stated preference for labor market-related degree characteristics are less likely to overestimate earnings outcomes and choose degrees where past students have gone on to earn more, while the opposite is true for students with a stated preference for enjoyment of the curriculum. |
主题 | Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Education ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w21330 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/579003 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Justine S. Hastings,Christopher A. Neilson,Anely Ramirez,et al. (Un)Informed College and Major Choice: Evidence from Linked Survey and Administrative Data. 2015. |
条目包含的文件 | 条目无相关文件。 |
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